[Japanese]
修士論文要旨(川見 真由)
暖候期の九州北部における雨滴粒径分布特性
川見 真由
雨滴粒径分布(Raindrop Size Distribution: DSD)は, 降水を特徴づける基本量の一つであり, 衝突併合, 分裂, 蒸発などの微物理過程を反映することから, 降水微物理の理解に有用である. さらに, DSD はレーダーによる降水量推定や数値モデルにおける雲微物理過程の表現にも関わるため, DSD 特性を明らかにすることは, 観測・予測の精度向上にとっても重要である. また, DSD は地域, 季節,降水タイプに応じて変化するため, それらの違いを踏まえた DSD 特性の整理が求められる. しかし, 日本国内では, DSD を質量荷重平均粒径Dmや, 正規化切片パラメータNwといった代表パラメータで整理し, 季節差を踏まえて降水システム間の DSD 特性を体系的に比較した研究は限られている.
そこで本研究では, 九州北部における梅雨前・梅雨期の DSD 特性の季節差を明らかにし, 地上で観測される DSD の変動を上空の微物理過程と関連付けて解釈することを目的として, 2024 年の観測データの解析を行った. 具体的には,地上ディスドロメーター観測からDm およびNw を算出し,Dm -log10Nw 面上の二次元頻度分布を用いて梅雨前と梅雨期の DSD 特性を比較した.その結果, 梅雨前と梅雨期ではDm-log10Nw 二次元頻度分布における高頻度領域の現れ方が異なり, 両季節で卓越する DSD 特性に季節差があることが明らかになった. さらに, 梅雨期-梅雨前の差分分布では出現頻度の増減が特定のDm-log10Nw領域に現れ, 季節差がより明瞭に示された.
次に, この季節差を降水システムの違いと関連付けて解釈するため, 季節ごとの 地上 DSD 特性に基づいて 5 つの降水タイプを設定し, 各降水タイプについて XRAIN 偏波レーダー観測を用いて解析を行った. 具体的には, レーダー反射強度Zh やレーダー反射因子差Zdr などの偏波パラメータの高度別頻度分布を作成し, 降水域内部の鉛直構造を降水タイプ間で比較した. その結果, 降水タイプ 3, 4 では融解層に対応するシグナルが明瞭に認められた一方, 降水タイプ 1, 2, 5 では同シグナルは認められず, 降水タイプ間で鉛直構造に系統的な差が確認された. そこで, 融解層シグナルの有無に基づき, 降水タイプ 1, 2, 5 を1 つのグループ, 降水タイプ 3, 4 を 1 つのグループとして整理し, 各グループにおける梅雨前と梅雨期の違いに着目して議論を進めた.
さらに, 下層と上層の差分から ∆Zℎ と ∆Zdr を算出し, その組み合わせに基づいて各降水タイプで卓越する微物理過程を降水強度階級ごとに推定した. その結果, 降水タイプ 1, 2, 5 では全体として衝突併合や, 衝突併合と分裂の平衡状態が卓越した. 一方, 降水タイプ 3, 4 では, 弱雨時に卓越する微物理過程が異なり, 降水タイプ 3 では平衡状態, 降水タイプ 4 では分裂が卓越した. また, これらの微物理過程の違いは, 各降水タイプの DSD の違いに起因すると考えられた. 本研究により, 九州北部における梅雨前・梅雨期の DSD の季節差が, 降水タイプごとの鉛直構造および卓越する微物理過程の違いとして現れることが示された.
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[English]
Characteristics of raindrop size distribution in the warm season over northern Kyushu, Japan
Mayu Kawami
Raindrop size distribution (DSD) is one of the fundamental quantities that characterize precipitation and is useful for understanding precipitation microphysics because it reflects processes such as collision-coalescence, breakup, and evaporation. In addition, clarifying DSD characteristics is important for improving the accuracy of observations and numerical weather predictions because DSD is related to radar-based quantitative precipitation estimation and to the parameterization of cloud microphysical processes in numerical in numerical models. Since DSD can vary depending on region, season, and precipitation type, it is necessary to organize DSD characteristics while accounting for these differences. However, in Japan, relatively few studies have systematically compared DSD characteristics, organized using representative parameters such as the mass-weighted mean diameter Dm and the normalized intercept parameter Nw , in relation to difference in precipitation systems while considering seasonal variations.
Therefore, this study analyzed observational data from 2024 with the objectives of clarifying seasonal differences in DSD characteristics between the pre-Baiu and Baiu seasons in northern Kyusyu, and interpreting variations in surface-observed DSD in connection with microphysical processes aloft. Specifically, Dm and Nw were calculated from ground-based disdrometer observations, and DSD characteristics in the pre-Baiu and Baiu seasons were compared using the two-dimensional (2D) frequency distribution of Dm and log10Nw.
The results showed that the locations of high-frequency regions in the 2D frequency distribution of Dm and log10Nw differed between the pre-Baiu and Baiu seasons, indicating a seasonal difference in the predominant DSD characteristics. Furthermore, in the difference distribution (Baiu minus pre-Baiu), increases and decreases in occurrence frequency appeared in specific regions of the 2D frequency distribution of Dm andlog10Nw, making the seasonal differences more evident.
Next, to interpret these seasonal differences in relation to differences in precipitation systems, five precipitation types were defined based on the surface DSD characteristics for each season, and analyses were conducted for each precipitation type using XRAIN polarimetric radar observations. Specifically, contoured frequency by altitude diagrams (CFADs) of polarimetric parameters, including radar reflectivity Zℎ and differential reflectivity Zdr, were constructed to compare the vertical structures within precipitation regions among the precipitation types. As a result, a clear melting-layer signature was identified in precipitation types 3 and 4, whereas no such signature was observed in precipitation types 1, 2, and 5, indicating a systematic difference in vertical structure among the precipitation types. Accordingly, based on the presence or absence of the melting-layer signature, precipitation types 1, 2, and 5 were grouped together, and precipitation types 3 and 4 were treated as another group, and discussions then focused on the differences between the pre-Baiu and Baiu seasons within each group.
In addition, ∆Zℎ and ∆Zdr were calculated from the differences between lower and upper layers, and dominant microphysical processes for each precipitation type were inferred by rainfall-intensity class based on the combination of these quantities. The results showed that precipitation types 1, 2, and 5 were characterized overall by the predominance of collision-coalescence and coalescence-breakup equilibrium state. In contrast, precipitation types 2 and 4 exhibited different dominant processes under light-rain conditions: equilibrium dominated in type 3, whereas breakup dominated in type 4. These differences in dominant microphysical processes were considered to arise from differences in DSD characteristics among the precipitation types. This study demonstrated that seasonal differences in DSD between the pre-Baiu and Baiu seasons in northern Kyushu manifest as differences in vertical structure and dominant microphysical processes of precipitation among precipitation types.
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